ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 0900 UTC SAT SEP 30 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) X(37) X(37) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 39(39) X(39) X(39) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) X(29) X(29) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) X(22) X(22) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 32(36) X(36) X(36) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 309N 590W 34 94 4(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 309N 590W 50 62 13(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) 12 309N 590W 64 27 8(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) 24 323N 604W 34 14 69(83) 9(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 24 323N 604W 50 2 46(48) 11(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) 24 323N 604W 64 1 23(24) 8(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 36 347N 610W 34 2 19(21) 54(75) 7(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) 36 347N 610W 50 X 2( 2) 36(38) 8(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 36 347N 610W 64 X 1( 1) 17(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 48 390N 602W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 45(52) 10(62) X(62) X(62) 48 390N 602W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 8(28) X(28) X(28) 48 390N 602W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 72 475N 545W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) X(37) X(37) 72 475N 545W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) 72 475N 545W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 70 70 60 50 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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