ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 0300 UTC SAT SEP 30 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 19(29) X(29) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 13(41) X(41) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) X(14) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 9(36) X(36) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 8(26) X(26) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) X(17) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18) X(18) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 2(29) X(29) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 305N 584W 34 93 4(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 305N 584W 50 63 13(76) 1(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 12 305N 584W 64 27 8(35) X(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) 24 315N 597W 34 25 57(82) 8(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) 24 315N 597W 50 6 40(46) 11(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) 24 315N 597W 64 1 17(18) 5(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 36 335N 610W 34 3 20(23) 47(70) 10(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) 36 335N 610W 50 X 4( 4) 27(31) 10(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) 36 335N 610W 64 X 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) 48 365N 610W 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 36(55) 12(67) X(67) X(67) 48 365N 610W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 6(27) X(27) X(27) 48 365N 610W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 72 460N 550W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 9(42) X(42) 72 460N 550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) 72 460N 550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 96 510N 450W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) X(23) 96 510N 450W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) 96 510N 450W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 65 65 60 55 45 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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