Tropical Storm ISAAC

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092006               
0300 UTC SAT SEP 30 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  19(29)   X(29)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  28(28)  13(41)   X(41)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   7(14)   X(14)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)   9(36)   X(36)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   8(26)   X(26)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   4(17)   X(17)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   2(15)   X(15)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   2(18)   X(18)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  26(27)   2(29)   X(29)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 305N  584W 34 93   4(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 305N  584W 50 63  13(76)   1(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 12 305N  584W 64 27   8(35)   X(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 
 24 315N  597W 34 25  57(82)   8(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 24 315N  597W 50  6  40(46)  11(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 24 315N  597W 64  1  17(18)   5(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
 36 335N  610W 34  3  20(23)  47(70)  10(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 36 335N  610W 50  X   4( 4)  27(31)  10(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 36 335N  610W 64  X   1( 1)  12(13)   4(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
 48 365N  610W 34  X   2( 2)  17(19)  36(55)  12(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 48 365N  610W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)   6(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 48 365N  610W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
 
 72 460N  550W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  33(33)   9(42)   X(42)
 72 460N  550W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   4(15)   X(15)
 72 460N  550W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 510N  450W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  21(23)   X(23)
 96 510N  450W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)
 96 510N  450W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     65      65      60      55      45       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN