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HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
35.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 368N 501W 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 368N 501W 50 68 8(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
12 368N 501W 64 19 3(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
24 384N 453W 34 5 85(90) 4(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
24 384N 453W 50 X 51(51) 10(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
24 384N 453W 64 X 17(17) 6(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
36 403N 405W 34 X 9( 9) 67(76) 7(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84)
36 403N 405W 50 X X( X) 38(38) 9(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48)
36 403N 405W 64 X X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
48 422N 361W 34 X X( X) 17(17) 43(60) 9(69) X(69) X(69)
48 422N 361W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 6(32) X(32) X(32)
48 422N 361W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
72 470N 280W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) 7(47) X(47)
72 470N 280W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 4(18) X(18)
72 470N 280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
96 510N 200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 21(26) 5(31)
96 510N 200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11)
96 510N 200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
120 550N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 9(19)
120 550N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
120 550N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 65 65 60 55 45 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 22-Sep-2006 20:50:02 UTC