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Hurricane HELENE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
35.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 368N  501W 34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 368N  501W 50 68   8(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 12 368N  501W 64 19   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
 24 384N  453W 34  5  85(90)   4(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 24 384N  453W 50  X  51(51)  10(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 24 384N  453W 64  X  17(17)   6(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
 36 403N  405W 34  X   9( 9)  67(76)   7(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 36 403N  405W 50  X   X( X)  38(38)   9(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 36 403N  405W 64  X   X( X)  13(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
 48 422N  361W 34  X   X( X)  17(17)  43(60)   9(69)   X(69)   X(69)
 48 422N  361W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)   6(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 48 422N  361W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
 
 72 470N  280W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  39(40)   7(47)   X(47)
 72 470N  280W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   4(18)   X(18)
 72 470N  280W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 96 510N  200W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  21(26)   5(31)
 96 510N  200W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)
 96 510N  200W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 550N  140W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   9(19)
120 550N  140W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
120 550N  140W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     60     65      65      60      55      45      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 22-Sep-2006 20:50:02 UTC