ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0300 UTC FRI SEP 22 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 336N 548W 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 336N 548W 50 84 7(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) 12 336N 548W 64 49 11(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) 24 363N 512W 34 8 83(91) 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 24 363N 512W 50 X 57(57) 12(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) 24 363N 512W 64 X 27(27) 6(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 36 389N 459W 34 X 4( 4) 71(75) 9(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) 36 389N 459W 50 X X( X) 39(39) 9(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) 36 389N 459W 64 X X( X) 14(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 48 417N 400W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 54(58) 11(69) X(69) X(69) 48 417N 400W 50 X X( X) X( X) 25(25) 6(31) X(31) X(31) 48 417N 400W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 72 470N 300W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 41(41) 10(51) 1(52) 72 470N 300W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 5(19) 1(20) 72 470N 300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 96 515N 230W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 28(34) 7(41) 96 515N 230W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 3(17) 96 515N 230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 120 580N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 120 580N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 120 580N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 75 75 70 65 60 60 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 22-Sep-2006 02:45:02 UTC