ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 2100 UTC MON SEP 04 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 176N 450W 34 18 10(28) 2(30) X(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) 12 176N 450W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 176N 450W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 183N 465W 34 1 26(27) 9(36) 2(38) 1(39) X(39) 1(40) 24 183N 465W 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 24 183N 465W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 190N 481W 34 X 8( 8) 23(31) 8(39) 3(42) 1(43) 1(44) 36 190N 481W 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) 36 190N 481W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 195N 500W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 18(29) 10(39) 2(41) 1(42) 48 195N 500W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) 48 195N 500W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 205N 540W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) 8(37) 3(40) 72 205N 540W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 2(15) 72 205N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 96 215N 580W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 16(25) 8(33) 96 215N 580W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 96 215N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 120 230N 620W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 13(23) 120 230N 620W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 120 230N 620W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 45 55 65 75 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC