Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane VINCE


ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM VINCE DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2005
 
VINCE HAS BECOME RAPIDLY LESS ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT...AS A BLAST OF
NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR HAS OVERTAKEN THE CYCLONE.  CONVECTION IS BEING
DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL
CENTER...AND THE EYE HAS DISINTEGRATED.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
LOWERED TO 50 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.  WITH VINCE OVER 23C WATERS AND
THE SHEAR EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...A CONTINUED RAPID DECLINE IS
EXPECTED.  THE GFS...UKMET...AND NOGAPS ALL SHOW VINCE BECOMING
ABSORBED OR DISSIPATING WITHIN 24 HOURS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT...BUT VINCE COULD DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW BEFORE
THEN.  

VINCE HAS ACCELERATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST...AND THE INITIAL MOTION
IS NOW 070/10.  AS THE CONVECTION AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER CONTINUE
TO DECOUPLE...A SLIGHT TURN BACK TO THE LEFT IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
CENTER DISSIPATES.  THE TRACK FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE GFS AND GFDN
SOLUTIONS.
  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      10/0900Z 34.8N  16.6W    50 KT
 12HR VT     10/1800Z 36.4N  14.0W    35 KT
 24HR VT     11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
$$
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 10-Oct-2005 08:40:13 UTC