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Hurricane RITA


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA DISCUSSION NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND VELOCITY DATA FROM THE WSR-88D RADAR IN
SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA INDICATE THAT RITA IS NO LONGER PRODUCING ANY
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS... BUT THERE ARE A FEW
OBSERVATIONS THAT SUPPORT THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KT.  THE
RADAR IMAGERY STILL DEPICTS SIGNIFICANT BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MAINLY
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.  THE DEPRESSION
IS CERTAINLY CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE RAINFALL TOTALS FOR AT
LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... EVEN THOUGH IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...
AND PERHAPS MERGE WITH A FRONT IN ABOUT THREE DAYS AS SUGGESTED BY
MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS.

SINCE ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED AND
RITA IS NOW BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... FUTURE PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...HPC...BEGINNING AT 4 PM CDT SUNDAY.
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      25/0300Z 33.0N  93.9W    30 KT
 12HR VT     25/1200Z 34.2N  93.4W    25 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     26/0000Z 35.4N  91.8W    25 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     26/1200Z 36.3N  89.8W    25 KT...INLAND
 48HR VT     27/0000Z 37.0N  87.6W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     28/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
 
 
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