Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane DENNIS


ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DENNIS SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
6 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2005
 
THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS MAINLY TO UPGRADE DENNIS TO A HURRICANE
BASED ON A 79-KT 700 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND THAT WAS MEASURED IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT AT 2127Z ON THE OUTBOUND LEG AFTER PASSING
THROUGH THE EYE AND MEASURING A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 985 MB. WIND
RADII FOR 64-KT WERE INCLUDED AND THE 50-KT RADII WERE INCREASED
SLIGHTLY IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE BASED ON THE NEW RECON WIND
DATA.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 295/12.  THERE ARE NO CHANGES TO
PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST OR REASONING. 

NO CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY FORECAST. HOWEVER...
RECON AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE DENNIS HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER
ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES
INTO THIS EVENING...THEN THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT RAPID
INTENSIFICATION COULD OCCUR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...AND
DENNIS COULD REACH CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE IT PASSES
CLOSE TO JAMAICA IN 24 HOURS.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      06/2200Z 16.1N  72.5W    70 KT
 12HR VT     07/0600Z 17.0N  74.3W    70 KT
 24HR VT     07/1800Z 18.4N  76.7W    80 KT
 36HR VT     08/0600Z 20.0N  79.1W    95 KT
 48HR VT     08/1800Z 21.4N  81.4W   100 KT
 72HR VT     09/1800Z 24.0N  84.5W   100 KT
 96HR VT     10/1800Z 27.5N  86.5W   100 KT
120HR VT     11/1800Z 31.0N  88.0W    65 KT...INLAND
 
 
$$
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Wednesday, 06-Jul-2005 22:25:01 UTC