Tropical Storm JEANNE

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TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 15 2004
 
...JEANNE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING...PASSING JUST SOUTH OF ST. CROIX...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM CABRERA SOUTHWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD ALSO AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
ESTIMATED FROM SAN JUAN RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE
65.1 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM... SOUTHWEST OF ST. CROIX.
 
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER
PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES ... 65 KM
FROM THE CENTER. UNCONFIRMED REPORTS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 58
MPH...WITH A GUST TO 88 MPH...HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM AN ELEVATED
LOCATION ON ST. CROIX. ADDITIONALLY...A SHIP RECENTLY REPORTED
WINDS OF 45 MPH JUST NORTHWEST OF THE ESTIMATED CENTER LOCATION.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...17.5 N... 65.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
AST.
 
FORECASTER KNABB/JARVINEN
 
 
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