ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ...OLAF NEARING COASTLINE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO. OLAF IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH ...6KM/HR... AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL BE INLAND OR VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST LATE THIS EVENING OR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. OLAF CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE CUYULAN RADAR SHOWS A EYE TYPE FEATURE WITH A BANDING PATTERN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 90 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COASTLINE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES ... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...18.8 N...104.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER JARVINEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:09 UTC