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Tropical Storm CARLOS


ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003

...CARLOS STRENGTHENING AND HEADING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO... 
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EASTWARD TO SALINA CRUZ AND HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO.  TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.6 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...95 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO ON THE SOUTH COAST OF
MEXICO.

RADAR FROM PUERTO ANGEL AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT CARLOS IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT BUT A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER
OF CARLOS NEAR...OR ON...THE COAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH... 85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER 
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF CARLOS. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...15.1 N... 97.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM
PDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:02 UTC