Tropical Storm Vance

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 280845
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  28
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
200 AM MST Wed Oct 28 2026
 
...VANCE HOLDING STEADY ON A NORTHWARD TRACK...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.6N 108.6W
ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern and west-central coasts of Mexico
and the southern Baja California Peninsula should monitor the
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was
located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 108.6 West. Vance is
moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the 
north-northeast is expected later today. 
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 h, followed 
by gradual weakening. Vance is expected to become a post-tropical 
remnant low on Thursday as it approaches the coast of northwestern 
Mexico.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4
inches of rain across central and southern Sinaloa, western Durango,
and northwestern Nayarit, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches
possible over central and southern Sinaloa. This rainfall may
produce flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep
terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect coastal portions of
southwestern, west-central Mexico, and the southern portion of the
Baja California Peninsula during the next few days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Gibbs