Hurricane Polo

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 250855
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Polo Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026
200 AM MST Fri Sep 25 2026
 
...POLO REGAINS CATEGORY 5 STATUS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 107.5W
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...929 MB...27.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this
system.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Polo was located
near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 107.5 West. Polo is moving
toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected 
to continue through today, followed by a gradual turn to the 
northwest on Saturday and north on Sunday. A turn toward the 
northeast is expected on Monday. On the forecast track, Polo is 
expected to approach Baja California Sur on Monday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 160 mph (260 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Polo is a category 5 hurricane on the 
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are 
possible over the next 12 to 24 hours. Weakening should begin by 
Saturday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 929 mb (27.44 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL: For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated 
with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total 
Rainfall Graphic available at 
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURF: Swells generated by Polo will affect portions of the coast of
southwestern Mexico during the next couple of days. Swells will
spread northward along the coast of west-central Mexico and toward
Baja California Sur today and into the weekend. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal
flooding. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Hagen