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NHC

Tropical Storm Elida Forecast Advisory

Advisory Number: 15
0900 UTC SAT JUL 18 2026

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 180834
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026
0900 UTC SAT JUL 18 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 122.8W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 170SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....360NE 300SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 122.8W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 122.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.0N 123.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.7N 124.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.6N 125.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.9N 126.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 27.4N 127.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 30.1N 127.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 34.5N 128.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 122.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG

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