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NHC

Hurricane Polo Forecast Advisory

Advisory Number: 18
0300 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 250247
TCMEP2

HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
0300 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.5W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 35SE 35SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.5W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.1W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.4N 108.1W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 111.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.2N 112.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.8N 113.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.6N 114.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 25.7N 112.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 27.3N 109.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 106.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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