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NHC

Hurricane Karina Forecast Advisory

Advisory Number: 23
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2026

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 020237
TCMEP1

HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112026
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 130.8W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 100SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 130.8W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 130.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.7N 132.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.1N 134.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N 136.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 95SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.9N 138.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.2N 139.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.7N 141.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.3N 144.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 24.5N 146.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 130.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/KELLY

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