Tropical Depression Amanda

000
WTPZ41 KNHC 070836
TCDEP1
 
Tropical Depression Amanda Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012026
1100 PM HST Sat Jun 06 2026
 
Amanda remains a poorly organized tropical cyclone and is quickly on 
the path to becoming a post-tropical remnant low. Convection has 
remained sporadic and confined primarily to the western semicircle 
due to persistent east-southeasterly shear and dry mid-level air. An 
overnight scatterometer pass sampled winds up to 29 kt northwest of 
the center, which aligns with the latest subjective Dvorak estimates 
from TAFB and objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS. Based on 
these data, the initial intensity is held at 30 kt.
 
Amanda is moving toward the south-southwest, or 210/3 kt. A low- to 
mid-level ridge centered north of the cyclone is expected to remain 
the primary steering influence through the next several days, 
resulting in a gradual turn toward the west-southwest through the 
day Sunday. The latest guidance remains tightly clustered, and the 
NHC forecast track is little changed from the previous advisory.
 
Persistent east-southeasterly shear and dry mid-level air are 
expected to continue limiting organization, despite the warm SSTs 
along the track. Continued weakening is forecast, and Amanda is 
expected to degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low by Sunday 
night. The remnant circulation will likely persist for a few days 
before dissipating.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  07/0900Z 11.7N 135.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  07/1800Z 11.4N 135.6W   25 KT  30 MPH
 24H  08/0600Z 11.1N 136.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  08/1800Z 10.8N 137.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  09/0600Z 10.5N 138.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  09/1800Z 10.2N 139.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  10/0600Z  9.9N 141.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)