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NHC

Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal Forecast Discussion

Advisory Number: 5
300 PM GMT Thu Aug 13 2026

000
WTNT43 KNHC 131459
TCDAT3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032026
300 PM GMT Thu Aug 13 2026

Cristobal is entrenched in a hostile environment, with cool SSTs,
strong northerly vertical wind shear and dry mid-level air.
Organized convection has been absent since around 21-22z yesterday
and all that remains is remnant low devoid of convection. The
initial intensity is set at 25 kt for this advisory.

The remnant low will continue moving rapidly northeastward to
east-northeastward today before the remnant low becomes absorbed
into the broader flow associated with a deepening upper-level low
over Atlantic Canada. This is the last advisory issued by the
National Hurricane Center on this system.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/1500Z 39.4N 36.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 14/0000Z 41.0N 34.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi

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