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Hurricane Polo
Public Advisory #15
2 hr & 20 min ago • 300 AM CST
ES
Adviso Publico #15
hace 2 h y 20 min • 300 AM CST
Forecast Advisory #15
2 hr & 20 min ago • 0900 UTC
Forecast Discussion #15
2 hr & 20 min ago • 300 AM CST
ES
Pronóstico Discusión #15
hace 2 h y 20 min • 300 AM CST
Wind Speed Probabilities #15
2 hr & 20 min ago • 0900 UTC
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Mensajes Claves
Wind Speed Probabilities
Arrival Time of Winds
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Hurricane Polo Wind Speed Probabilities
Advisory Number: 15
0900 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
000
FOPZ12 KNHC 240832
PWSEP2
HURRICANE POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
0900 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 140
KTS...160 MPH...260 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13)
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 27(42)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18)
P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 7(17)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 32(44)
LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12)
LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20)
BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 23(25)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
L CARDENAS 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 12(24) X(24) X(24)
20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 58(60) 29(89) X(89) X(89)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 25(25) 38(63) X(63) X(63)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 30(40) X(40) X(40)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 8(24) 1(25)
20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 14(42)
25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15)
25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI