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Hurricane Polo
FEATURED
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FEATURED
ES
Mensajes Claves
Wind Speed Probabilities
Arrival Time of Winds
Wind History
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Interactive Cone
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Warnings/Cone Interactive Map
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Experimental Cone Interactive Map
Warnings and Surface Wind
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Rip Currents
Rainfall Potential
Hurricane Polo Wind Speed Probabilities
Advisory Number: 10
0300 UTC WED SEP 23 2026
000
FOPZ12 KNHC 230250
PWSEP2
HURRICANE POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
0300 UTC WED SEP 23 2026
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 145
KTS...165 MPH...270 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
15N 105W 34 X X( X) 18(18) 7(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
L CARDENAS 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 100W 34 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) 1(16)
15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 4(14)
20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 28(56) 2(58)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 1(25)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) 16(51)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 9(23)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13)
15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 30(54)
20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 20(29)
20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13)
25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
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FORECASTER PAPIN