ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 700 PM PST SUN NOV 02 2014 ...VANCE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 700 PM PST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.7N 109.6W ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 PM PST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST. VANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. THE HURRICANE SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON MONDAY AT A SLOWER RATE OF FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A FURTHER TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. VANCE MAY INTENSIFY SOME THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AND COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE. STEADY TO RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON TUESDAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY VANCE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR IN A DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...100 AM PST. $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA NNNN
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