ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 1500 UTC THU JUL 20 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 129N 1237W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 129N 1237W 50 86 6(92) 1(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) 12 129N 1237W 64 70 9(79) 1(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 24 133N 1251W 34 60 31(91) 5(96) X(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97) 24 133N 1251W 50 10 53(63) 10(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) 24 133N 1251W 64 3 41(44) 11(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 36 138N 1267W 34 3 41(44) 33(77) 7(84) 3(87) X(87) X(87) 36 138N 1267W 50 X 12(12) 35(47) 8(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57) 36 138N 1267W 64 X 5( 5) 24(29) 7(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) 48 143N 1283W 34 1 6( 7) 34(41) 22(63) 12(75) X(75) X(75) 48 143N 1283W 50 X 1( 1) 13(14) 17(31) 8(39) X(39) X(39) 48 143N 1283W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) 72 153N 1315W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 26(39) 6(45) 1(46) 72 153N 1315W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 2(17) 1(18) 72 153N 1315W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 96 163N 1345W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 2(21) 96 163N 1345W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 96 163N 1345W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 175N 1370W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 120 175N 1370W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 175N 1370W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 115 115 105 90 75 60 50 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC