ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE CARLOTTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042006 0900 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 73 19(92) X(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) ISLA CLARION 50 29 29(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) ISLA CLARION 64 13 17(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 182N 1142W 34 90 6(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 182N 1142W 50 58 12(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) 12 182N 1142W 64 37 7(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 24 184N 1161W 34 7 58(65) 8(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) 24 184N 1161W 50 1 26(27) 7(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) 24 184N 1161W 64 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 36 186N 1180W 34 1 14(15) 28(43) 7(50) 1(51) 1(52) X(52) 36 186N 1180W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) 36 186N 1180W 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 188N 1200W 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 14(26) 6(32) X(32) X(32) 48 188N 1200W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 188N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 190N 1230W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 2(15) 1(16) 72 190N 1230W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 190N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 195N 1255W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 96 195N 1255W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 195N 1255W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 200N 1280W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 120 200N 1280W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 200N 1280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 70 60 50 45 35 25 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC