ABNT20 KNHC 081755 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE...LOCATED ABOUT 1215 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES. A SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED FROM THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA AND INTO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...ALL OF THE BAHAMAS...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. THE TROUGH HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED AND SURFACE PRESSURES ARE SLOWLY FALLING. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS DEVELOPING GALE AREA CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AZORES ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS OVER AN AREA EXTENDING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND THE LOW COULD ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD TODAY AND NORTHWESTWARD ON TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE METEO FRANCE MET OFFICE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON PHILIPPE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2. HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE METEO FRANCE MET OFFICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
000 ABNT20 KNHC 242152 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 555 PM EDT MON AUG 24 2009 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO ADD DISCUSSION OF AREA IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN. UPDATED...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER NICARAGUA...COSTA RICA...AND PANAMA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS THE LOW MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 20 TO 25 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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