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Tropical Storm ODILE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160254
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ODILE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY TO 55 KT

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO TO SAN
JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTA TO BAHIA DE
LOS ANGELES
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTH OF SAN JOSE DE LAS
PALOMAS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF BAHIA DE LOS
ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO LIBERTAD

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ODILE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 111.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.8N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.8N 113.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.7N 113.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.6N 112.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 32.0N 111.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 112.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




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Page last modified: Tuesday, 16-Sep-2014 02:54:12 UTC