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Hurricane IRWIN Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 260841
TCMEP5

HURRICANE IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102017
0900 UTC WED JUL 26 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 121.5W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 121.5W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 121.2W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.1N 123.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.8N 124.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.7N 124.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.9N 124.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 20.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 121.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS



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Page last modified: Wednesday, 26-Jul-2017 08:42:32 UTC