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Tropical Storm ULIKA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 281443
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM ULIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192016
1500 UTC WED SEP 28 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 138.7W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 138.7W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 138.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.3N 138.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.0N 139.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.7N 140.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.3N 141.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.5N 144.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.5N 148.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 138.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN



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Page last modified: Wednesday, 28-Sep-2016 14:43:37 UTC