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Hurricane ISELLE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020235
TCMEP4

HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
0300 UTC SAT AUG 02 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 127.3W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 127.3W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 126.9W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.1N 128.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.5N 130.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.8N 132.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.2N 134.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.4N 137.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 16.5N 139.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 17.0N 144.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 127.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




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Page last modified: Saturday, 02-Aug-2014 02:36:00 UTC