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Tropical Storm NORBERT Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 030239
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
0300 UTC WED SEP 03 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 106.9W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 180SE 150SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 106.9W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 106.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.8N 107.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.4N 108.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.1N 109.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.9N 110.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 112.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 24.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 25.3N 117.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 106.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




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Page last modified: Wednesday, 03-Sep-2014 02:39:26 UTC