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Tropical Depression FOURTEEN-E Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 262032
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142016
2100 UTC FRI AUG 26 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 136.5W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 136.5W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 136.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.2N 137.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.2N 138.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.8N 140.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.6N 141.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 144.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 19.0N 148.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 19.0N 152.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 136.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




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Page last modified: Friday, 26-Aug-2016 20:33:32 UTC