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Tropical Storm GUILLERMO Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 301435
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092015
1500 UTC THU JUL 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.1N 127.5W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.1N 127.5W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.8N 126.8W

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z  9.9N 129.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 11.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.0N 135.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.8N 138.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.6N 142.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 16.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.0N 148.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.1N 127.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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Page last modified: Thursday, 30-Jul-2015 14:35:45 UTC