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Hurricane ULIKA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 280852
TCMEP4

HURRICANE ULIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192016
0900 UTC WED SEP 28 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 139.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 139.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 139.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.7N 138.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.6N 139.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.4N 139.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.0N 140.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.7N 143.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.7N 147.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 139.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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Page last modified: Wednesday, 28-Sep-2016 08:53:10 UTC