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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 292031
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 126.4W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 126.4W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 125.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.4N 128.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.2N 130.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.6N 135.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.6N 139.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.4N 141.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.0N 142.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 126.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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Page last modified: Saturday, 29-Aug-2015 20:32:00 UTC