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Hurricane LESTER Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 271433
TCMEP3

HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
1500 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 118.4W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 118.4W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 117.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.0N 119.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.1N 122.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.2N 125.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.4N 128.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.6N 133.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 18.6N 138.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 18.7N 143.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 118.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




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Page last modified: Saturday, 27-Aug-2016 14:33:37 UTC