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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 310247
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 132.5W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 250SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 132.5W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 131.8W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.4N 134.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.2N 136.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.8N 138.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 140.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 141.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.1N 143.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.2N 143.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 132.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN



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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Aug-2015 02:48:15 UTC