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Hurricane LESTER Forecast Advisory (Text)


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HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
LESTER.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 138.6W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 138.6W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 138.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.9N 140.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.1N 142.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.6N 144.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  65SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.2N 147.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.6N 152.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N 157.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.5N 162.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 138.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 31-Aug-2016 14:36:27 UTC