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Hurricane LESTER Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280248
TCMEP3

HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
0300 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 120.8W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 120.8W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 120.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.1N 122.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.2N 125.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.3N 128.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.4N 131.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 18.6N 136.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 18.7N 140.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 19.5N 145.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 120.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




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Page last modified: Sunday, 28-Aug-2016 02:48:52 UTC