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Tropical Storm MARIE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 222031
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
2100 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 103.5W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 103.5W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 103.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.8N 105.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.4N 107.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.9N 109.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.8N 110.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 22.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 103.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




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Page last modified: Friday, 22-Aug-2014 20:31:53 UTC