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Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 200840
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
0900 UTC WED AUG 20 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 135.9W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  40SE  80SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 135.9W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 135.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.9N 136.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.5N 136.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.2N 135.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.3N 135.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 20.5N 129.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 25.5N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 135.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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Page last modified: Wednesday, 20-Aug-2014 08:41:13 UTC