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Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 220235
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 136.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 136.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 136.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.1N 135.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.7N 135.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.4N 134.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.3N 132.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.0N 129.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 21.5N 129.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 25.5N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 136.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




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Page last modified: Friday, 22-Aug-2014 02:35:48 UTC