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Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT25 KNHC 221435
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
1500 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
MARIA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  71.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 120SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  71.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  70.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.5N  72.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.9N  72.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.0N  71.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 32.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 34.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N  71.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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Page last modified: Friday, 22-Sep-2017 14:36:37 UTC