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Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT25 KNHC 250232
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0300 UTC MON SEP 25 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  73.0W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  73.0W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  72.9W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.8N  73.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.9N  73.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 33.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 33.9N  73.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 35.2N  72.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 36.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 38.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N  73.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



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Page last modified: Monday, 25-Sep-2017 02:33:40 UTC