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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 262042
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
2100 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  71.4W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  71.4W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  71.4W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.7N  71.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 32.9N  70.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.2N  67.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  50SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 38.0N  62.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE  70SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 120SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.5N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 150SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 52.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 60.0N  26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N  71.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




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Page last modified: Tuesday, 26-Aug-2014 20:42:14 UTC