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Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT23 KNHC 292050
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082016
2100 UTC MON AUG 29 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET
* PAMLICO SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  74.0W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  74.0W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  73.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 34.0N  74.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 34.6N  75.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 35.4N  74.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 36.7N  72.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 40.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  74.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




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Page last modified: Monday, 29-Aug-2016 20:50:40 UTC