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Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT23 KNHC 291442
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082016
1500 UTC MON AUG 29 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  73.5W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  73.5W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  73.2W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 33.8N  74.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 34.4N  75.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 35.1N  75.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 36.2N  73.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 39.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N  73.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




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Page last modified: Monday, 29-Aug-2016 14:43:10 UTC