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Tropical Depression SEVEN Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT22 KNHC 051444
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072015
1500 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  25.2W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  25.2W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  24.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 12.5N  26.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.8N  29.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.0N  32.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 13.5N  34.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 14.5N  40.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 15.0N  45.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 15.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  25.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



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Page last modified: Saturday, 05-Sep-2015 14:44:39 UTC