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Hurricane GASTON Forecast Advisory (Text)


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WTNT22 KNHC 312041
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016
2100 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE AZORES METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR FLORES AND CORVO IN THE WESTERN AZORES AND FOR FAIAL...PICO...
GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL AZORES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORES AND CORVO IN THE WESTERN AZORES
* FAIAL...PICO...GRACIOSA...SAO JORGE...AND TERCEIRA IN THE
CENTRAL AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  46.9W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  46.9W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N  47.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 36.3N  44.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 130SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 37.7N  39.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 140SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 38.5N  34.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 39.0N  30.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 110SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 41.0N  25.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N  46.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




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Page last modified: Wednesday, 31-Aug-2016 20:41:29 UTC