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Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 160237
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0300 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  56.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  56.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  56.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.8N  56.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.5N  54.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 170SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 38.1N  50.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.9N  41.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 160SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 38.6N  32.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N  56.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




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Page last modified: Tuesday, 16-Sep-2014 02:37:20 UTC